Perth Glory II vs Balcatta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
20.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-80%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
2º
11º
11º
24
5º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 1
PEG
73%
15%
12%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
PEG
1 - 6
ING
70%
16%
14%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
PEG
3 - 3
PER
40%
22%
37%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
PEG
2 - 5
WES
38%
21%
41%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
PEG
0 - 1
STI
34%
22%
44%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Balcatta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 3
PRS
22%
23%
55%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
FRC
0 - 1
BAL
65%
18%
17%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 2
BAY
23%
21%
56%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 0
BAL
71%
16%
13%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 0
ARM
21%
20%
59%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +3 |