Perth Glory II vs Balcatta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
60.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
PEG
0 - 2
ECU
54%
21%
25%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
PER
1 - 0
PEG
88%
8%
4%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
PEG
2 - 1
SUB
67%
18%
15%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ARM
1 - 1
PEG
37%
22%
41%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
PEG
0 - 1
SOR
14%
17%
69%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Balcatta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
STI
1 - 2
BAL
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 2
ING
41%
23%
36%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
BAL
2 - 3
FLO
33%
23%
45%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ECU
2 - 6
BAL
28%
23%
49%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
ASH
1 - 2
BAL
11%
17%
73%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | 0 |