Bali United vs PSMS Medan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bali United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
THA
0 - 0
PER
55%
22%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
PER
3 - 1
THA
31%
22%
48%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
GLO
1 - 1
PER
17%
21%
62%
|
56 | 32 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
PER
3 - 0
PER
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
PER
1 - 0
SRI
52%
22%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
PSMS Medan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
MED
0 - 4
SRI
32%
23%
45%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2018 |
PER
1 - 0
MED
45%
24%
31%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
MED
1 - 4
PER
38%
24%
38%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
PER
3 - 3
MED
39%
24%
37%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
MED
0 - 2
SRI
41%
23%
36%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |