Persib vs Persebaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Persib
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
PER
1 - 1
PER
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
PER
1 - 2
MAD
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PER
3 - 2
PER
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
PUS
0 - 1
PER
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2018 |
PER
2 - 0
ARE
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Persebaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
PER
0 - 1
PUS
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ARE
1 - 0
PER
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
PER
4 - 1
MIT
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SRI
3 - 3
PER
49%
23%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
PER
0 - 2
PST
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |