AFC Champions League Elite Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Persepolis Tehran vs Al-Sadd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Persepolis Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
PER
2 - 1
PAY
60%
24%
16%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2018 |
PER
1 - 0
NUF
85%
12%
4%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
SAA
0 - 1
PER
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
EST
0 - 0
PER
31%
28%
41%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PER
1 - 0
SRA
80%
14%
6%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Sadd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
SAA
0 - 8
RAY
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SAA
1 - 1
SAI
83%
12%
6%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
SAA
0 - 1
PER
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
QAT
1 - 5
SAA
7%
16%
78%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SAA
5 - 0
RAY
62%
20%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |