AFC Champions League Elite Quarter-finals
Global 5-3
Persepolis Tehran vs Al-Ahli SFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
43%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Persepolis Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
PER
1 - 1
SIA
65%
23%
13%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2017 |
NAT
0 - 3
PER
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
TRA
1 - 2
PER
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
PER
2 - 0
FOO
52%
27%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
PER
3 - 0
NAT
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Ahli SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
ALA
4 - 0
ALF
61%
21%
17%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 1
ALA
24%
25%
52%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
KON
4 - 0
ALA
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
ALA
0 - 3
ALA
36%
23%
41%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
UDI
4 - 1
ALA
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |