Persela vs PSM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
25.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Persela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
MIT
5 - 1
PER
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
PER
3 - 0
PER
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
PER
0 - 0
PER
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
PER
3 - 0
PER
58%
21%
20%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
PER
1 - 0
PER
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
PSM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
PSM
1 - 1
PER
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
PSM
4 - 0
PER
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
PER
1 - 0
PSM
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
PSM
0 - 2
MIT
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
PSM
1 - 1
PUT
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |