Persela vs Persebaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
46.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Persela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
PER
0 - 1
PSI
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
PER
1 - 1
BSU
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
MAD
2 - 1
PER
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
PER
2 - 0
ARE
26%
26%
48%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
PER
2 - 0
PER
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Persebaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
PER
4 - 1
PER
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
PER
0 - 0
PUS
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 0
PER
22%
24%
54%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
PER
1 - 1
PER
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
PSI
0 - 4
PER
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |