Persela vs Persebaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
25.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Persela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
PER
0 - 0
PER
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
PER
3 - 0
PER
58%
21%
20%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
PER
1 - 0
PER
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
PER
4 - 0
PER
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
PER
1 - 0
PER
51%
25%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Persebaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
PER
1 - 0
PUT
48%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
PER
2 - 1
MIT
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
PER
0 - 3
SEM
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
SEM
0 - 2
PER
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
PER
3 - 2
PER
38%
24%
38%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |