Persela vs Persebaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Persela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
PER
2 - 1
PER
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
PER
1 - 0
ARE
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
PER
2 - 0
PER
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
SRI
2 - 1
PER
55%
24%
22%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
PER
2 - 0
PER
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Persebaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2009 |
PER
1 - 0
PER
50%
25%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
PER
0 - 1
PER
48%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
PER
0 - 0
PER
51%
25%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
PER
2 - 0
PSM
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
PER
4 - 3
PER
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |