Persela vs Gresik United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Persela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
PET
1 - 0
PER
32%
24%
44%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PSC
0 - 1
PER
38%
25%
38%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
PER
2 - 0
PER
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
PER
0 - 0
NUS
58%
21%
22%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PER
2 - 2
PER
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gresik United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DEL
2 - 1
GRE
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 0
PET
40%
22%
38%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
PSI
33%
22%
45%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +3 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
PSC
0 - 0
GRE
67%
18%
16%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PER
2 - 2
GRE
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +1 |