Persela vs Bontang analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Persela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
PSP
0 - 0
PER
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
PER
1 - 0
PER
47%
26%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
PER
2 - 1
MAD
49%
26%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
PER
2 - 1
PER
47%
26%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
PER
2 - 0
PER
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bontang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
PER
1 - 0
BON
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
BON
1 - 2
PER
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
BON
1 - 2
ARE
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
PER
2 - 2
BON
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
PER
2 - 2
BON
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |