Persebaya vs Persipura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Persebaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
PER
5 - 4
PER
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
PER
1 - 2
PER
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
PSP
4 - 1
PER
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
PER
5 - 2
PER
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
PER
2 - 2
BON
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Persipura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PER
1 - 1
PER
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
PSM
1 - 1
PER
48%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
PER
2 - 2
PER
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
PER
3 - 1
SRI
45%
24%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -3 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
PER
0 - 1
SRI
53%
22%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |