Persebaya vs Madura United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
38.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Persebaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
PER
0 - 2
PER
34%
24%
42%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
PER
1 - 1
PST
39%
23%
38%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
PER
1 - 1
PUS
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
PER
1 - 0
MIT
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
MIT
3 - 3
PER
53%
24%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Madura United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
PST
1 - 3
MAD
41%
23%
36%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
MAD
5 - 0
PER
36%
22%
41%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
MAD
2 - 2
KED
24%
21%
54%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
PSM
6 - 1
MAD
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
MAD
1 - 3
BSU
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |