Persebaya vs Madura United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Persebaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
PER
0 - 0
PER
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
PER
0 - 1
PSP
48%
25%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
PER
2 - 0
PER
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
PER
2 - 0
PER
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
PSM
2 - 0
PER
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Madura United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
PER
2 - 1
MAD
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ARE
6 - 1
MAD
50%
26%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
PER
2 - 2
MAD
52%
25%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
MAD
2 - 1
PER
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
MAD
3 - 1
PSM
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |