Persebaya vs Dewa United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
7º
1º
6
9º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
13 | 59 |
1º
|
18.5% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 56 |
2º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 55 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 54 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 53 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 51 |
6º
|
6% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 50 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 50 |
8º
|
5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 49 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
|
11º
|
6 | 49 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 48 |
11º
|
6.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 46 |
12º
|
6% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 46 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 43 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 39 |
15º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 37 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 32 |
17º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 30 |
18º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
52% | 18.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
46.5% | 75.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 6% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Persebaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
PER
2 - 1
PRS
47%
24%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PER
0 - 1
PER
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
PER
2 - 1
BAR
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
PDS
0 - 0
PER
35%
24%
41%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
PER
1 - 0
PSS
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dewa United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
PER
0 - 0
DEW
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
DEW
2 - 1
PSI
49%
24%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
PSM
3 - 1
DEW
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
DEW
2 - 2
PER
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
ARE
0 - 0
DEW
46%
25%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |