Piala Presiden Final
Global 2-4
Persebaya vs Arema FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Persebaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
MAD
2 - 3
PER
31%
22%
48%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
PER
1 - 0
MAD
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
PER
3 - 1
PST
51%
23%
26%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
PST
0 - 0
PER
28%
22%
50%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
PER
3 - 2
PER
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Arema FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
PKP
0 - 3
ARE
14%
17%
69%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
ARE
3 - 0
PKP
66%
18%
16%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
BSU
0 - 4
ARE
50%
24%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
ARE
6 - 1
PER
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
PER
1 - 0
ARE
26%
24%
50%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |