PSBS Biak Numfor vs PSIS Semarang analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
9º
18º
12º
21
7º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 65 |
1º
|
68% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 58 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 57 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 55 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 55 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 53 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 50 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 47 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 47 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 46 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 40 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 39 |
14º
|
29% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 37 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 32 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 31 |
17º
|
28% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 31 |
18º
|
28% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 79.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 20.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSBS Biak Numfor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
PSM
1 - 1
PSB
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
PSB
1 - 1
PER
45%
25%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
PSB
3 - 1
DEW
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
ARE
3 - 2
PSB
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2024 |
PRS
1 - 1
PSB
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
PSIS Semarang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
PSI
1 - 2
PRS
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
PER
2 - 1
PSI
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 0
PSI
40%
27%
34%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
PSI
1 - 3
PDS
51%
25%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
PSS
2 - 1
PSI
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |