Perpignan vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
35.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perpignan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
FCG
3 - 1
PER
57%
25%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
ASB
1 - 0
PER
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
PER
3 - 0
NIO
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
LOR
0 - 0
PER
58%
23%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
PER
1 - 0
ASS
28%
28%
44%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
SPO
2 - 2
NIO
64%
22%
15%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
LOR
2 - 1
SPO
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
SPO
1 - 1
ASB
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
TRO
5 - 0
SPO
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
SPO
4 - 1
STL
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |