Pérolas Negras vs Serrano FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
37%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pérolas Negras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 0
PER
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
PER
3 - 0
CIG
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
PAD
1 - 2
PER
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
PET
1 - 1
PER
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
PER
0 - 1
PET
31%
24%
45%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Serrano FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
POR
3 - 2
SFC
83%
13%
5%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SFC
2 - 0
FRI
43%
27%
30%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
PET
0 - 1
SFC
58%
24%
18%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 2
BAR
46%
27%
27%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 2
PET
22%
26%
53%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |