Pérolas Negras vs Bela Vista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
7.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+577%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pérolas Negras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
CEC
0 - 0
PER
14%
17%
69%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
AUD
3 - 2
PER
39%
24%
37%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2019 |
PER
0 - 0
AUD
42%
24%
34%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 0
PER
40%
24%
36%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
PER
1 - 2
ITA
51%
23%
27%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bela Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
BVI
1 - 1
QUE
12%
16%
71%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
DUQ
1 - 2
BVI
88%
9%
4%
|
6 | 42 | 36 | +2 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
BVI
1 - 3
DUQ
8%
15%
77%
|
7 | 42 | 35 | -1 |