Pêro Pinheiro vs Mortágua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
32.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
13º
1º
35
1º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 51 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
75.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
57% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
80.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
11º
|
78% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
65.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
85.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pêro Pinheiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
UDA
1 - 0
PER
48%
23%
30%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PER
2 - 3
SER
37%
28%
35%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 1
PER
16%
21%
62%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
PER
2 - 0
LOU
45%
25%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
PER
1 - 0
SAB
63%
19%
18%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 2
COR
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SIN
2 - 4
MOR
68%
20%
12%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 2
USA
34%
25%
41%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BEN
0 - 0
MOR
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 0
UDR
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |