Pêro Pinheiro vs Mortágua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
32.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
13º
1º
35
1º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 51 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
75.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
57% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
80.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
11º
|
78% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
65.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
85.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pêro Pinheiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
UDA
1 - 0
PER
48%
23%
30%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PER
2 - 3
SER
37%
28%
35%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 1
PER
16%
21%
62%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
PER
2 - 0
LOU
45%
25%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
PER
1 - 0
SAB
63%
19%
18%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 2
COR
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SIN
2 - 4
MOR
68%
20%
12%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 2
USA
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BEN
0 - 0
MOR
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 0
UDR
44%
23%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |