Pêro Pinheiro vs Alcains analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+78%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
13º
1º
11
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 51 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
75.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
57% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
80.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
11º
|
78% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
65.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
85.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pêro Pinheiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
LOU
2 - 2
PER
29%
29%
43%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SAB
0 - 1
PER
24%
23%
54%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PER
2 - 1
COR
54%
25%
21%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SIN
0 - 1
PER
60%
23%
17%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PER
1 - 0
USA
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alcains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ALC
0 - 3
COR
14%
21%
66%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SIN
4 - 1
ALC
83%
12%
5%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 2
USA
11%
20%
69%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
BEN
1 - 1
ALC
79%
14%
6%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
ALC
74%
17%
9%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |