Pêro Pinheiro vs 1º Dezembro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pêro Pinheiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
REA
1 - 1
PER
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
OEI
0 - 0
PER
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SIN
2 - 2
PER
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 1
PER
34%
24%
41%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PER
3 - 1
ALC
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
1DE
1 - 1
CAS
26%
25%
50%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
1DE
2 - 0
CAL
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
EVN
0 - 1
1DE
51%
25%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
1DE
1 - 1
MOU
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
1DE
0 - 0
ORI
20%
24%
56%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |