Perly-Certoux vs Vernier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
13%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perly-Certoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
PER
2 - 1
PLO
63%
19%
19%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
PER
0 - 2
SER
42%
24%
34%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
UGS
3 - 2
PER
61%
21%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
PER
1 - 1
MON
80%
13%
8%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SBC
3 - 1
PER
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Vernier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
VER
1 - 2
VEY
24%
22%
53%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
PLO
1 - 2
VER
67%
17%
16%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VER
0 - 2
COL
19%
21%
60%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SEC
3 - 2
VER
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
VER
2 - 2
SAX
51%
22%
26%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |