Perly-Certoux vs Lutry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
35%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perly-Certoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
STA
0 - 3
PER
78%
15%
7%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
BEX
4 - 3
PER
29%
24%
47%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
PER
0 - 3
COL
39%
24%
38%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
PER
2 - 3
BAV
25%
24%
51%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
FCO
1 - 3
PER
40%
24%
37%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lutry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
FCL
3 - 3
COL
40%
24%
36%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 0
FCO
69%
18%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
TER
1 - 1
FCL
75%
16%
10%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 3
SER
22%
23%
55%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
MON
0 - 7
FCL
43%
23%
34%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |