Perlen-Buchrain vs SC Zofingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
40.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
14º
12º
0
10º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
62% | 40% |
|
Relegation
|
38% | 59.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perlen-Buchrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
LUZ
1 - 1
PER
44%
23%
33%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
PER
1 - 2
RSZ
27%
24%
49%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ZUG
1 - 1
PER
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
PER
2 - 0
ASC
61%
20%
20%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 2
PER
36%
23%
42%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SC Zofingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
ZOF
2 - 0
SCE
52%
21%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LOC
5 - 1
ZOF
43%
23%
34%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ZOF
1 - 1
FCC
41%
22%
37%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BUO
1 - 1
ZOF
35%
23%
42%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LUZ
3 - 1
ZOF
37%
23%
40%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -2 |