Perlen-Buchrain vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
9º
10º
31
7º
12º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
91% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perlen-Buchrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ESC
0 - 4
PER
29%
23%
48%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 2
PER
30%
24%
47%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
PER
4 - 3
GOL
46%
22%
32%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
LUZ
3 - 0
PER
38%
24%
38%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
PER
0 - 3
ASC
47%
23%
31%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
IBA
1 - 5
SCH
3%
9%
88%
|
22 | 65 | 43 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
IBA
0 - 2
TAV
22%
22%
56%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 2
IBA
36%
25%
40%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
IBA
2 - 1
ESC
65%
20%
16%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
MEN
0 - 0
IBA
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |