Perlen-Buchrain vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
40%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
14º
12º
44
4º
16º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
62% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
38% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perlen-Buchrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
PER
2 - 1
CHA
45%
22%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BRU
0 - 1
PER
60%
22%
19%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PER
1 - 2
FCC
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
GOL
1 - 1
PER
37%
22%
41%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
PER
2 - 1
FCU
37%
23%
40%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
GOL
0 - 2
FCS
28%
21%
50%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 0
FCU
53%
21%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 2
LOC
37%
23%
41%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SCE
0 - 3
FCS
47%
21%
32%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FCC
2 - 1
FCS
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |