Perlen-Buchrain vs Novazzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
40.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perlen-Buchrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
IBA
0 - 1
PER
61%
20%
19%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
PER
1 - 2
HER
14%
16%
70%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
TAV
3 - 2
PER
56%
21%
23%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PER
1 - 0
SAR
55%
20%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 2
PER
59%
20%
21%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Novazzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 0
BRU
53%
21%
26%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ASC
0 - 0
NOV
42%
22%
36%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
LUG
47%
22%
31%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 0
ESC
48%
22%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
IBA
43%
22%
35%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |