Perlen-Buchrain vs AS Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.5%
38.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perlen-Buchrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
HER
2 - 3
PER
73%
15%
12%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
PER
2 - 3
HOC
26%
21%
54%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
BRU
0 - 1
PER
65%
18%
17%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
VED
5 - 0
PER
28%
22%
51%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
PER
2 - 2
ASC
32%
23%
45%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AS Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 4
ZOF
20%
19%
60%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
CAS
58%
20%
23%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
GOL
16%
17%
67%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HOC
2 - 0
CAS
56%
21%
24%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 6
IBA
37%
23%
40%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -2 |