Pergolettese vs Virtus Bolzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
PON
0 - 0
PER
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
PER
3 - 1
LEC
52%
24%
24%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ASS
3 - 0
PER
68%
20%
12%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
PER
2 - 0
DAR
53%
25%
23%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
PER
1 - 0
DCA
57%
24%
19%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Bolzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
VIR
0 - 2
DAR
22%
22%
56%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
SER
4 - 2
VIR
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 0
DCA
24%
23%
53%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
PSM
2 - 1
VIR
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 3
CAR
28%
23%
49%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |