Pergolettese vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
51.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
TRE
1 - 2
PER
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
PER
1 - 0
LEC
25%
26%
49%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
FIO
3 - 1
PER
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
PER
1 - 0
ABN
22%
26%
52%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
LEG
3 - 1
PER
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
TRI
1 - 1
FER
30%
27%
44%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
REN
2 - 1
TRI
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
TRI
2 - 1
MAN
49%
26%
26%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
TRI
1 - 0
FIO
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 0
TRI
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |