Pergolettese vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
ACM
5 - 1
PER
82%
13%
5%
|
41 | 90 | 49 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ACM
0 - 2
PER
15%
23%
62%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
PER
3 - 0
SER
70%
19%
11%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
TRE
0 - 1
PER
15%
23%
62%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
PER
2 - 0
PRO
76%
16%
8%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
VIN
1 - 1
USA
47%
25%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
USA
1 - 0
MAN
54%
24%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
REN
1 - 1
USA
61%
22%
18%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
USA
0 - 0
VNZ
34%
25%
40%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
RIM
0 - 1
USA
53%
24%
23%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |