Pergolettese vs Trento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
CRE
1 - 1
PER
39%
23%
39%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
BUS
0 - 2
PER
43%
23%
34%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
PER
1 - 1
SCA
71%
18%
12%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
CIS
1 - 2
PER
27%
25%
48%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
PER
4 - 0
ACL
34%
27%
40%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Trento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
TRE
1 - 4
BUS
19%
20%
61%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SCA
1 - 2
TRE
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
TRE
1 - 2
CIS
32%
25%
44%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
ACL
0 - 1
TRE
76%
17%
8%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
TRE
0 - 1
CAR
26%
25%
49%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |