Pergolettese vs Sondrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
ASS
1 - 1
PER
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
PER
1 - 0
VAR
30%
24%
47%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
GRU
1 - 3
PER
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
PER
0 - 1
PSM
43%
25%
33%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PER
1 - 1
CIS
37%
24%
38%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sondrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
SON
0 - 1
FOL
50%
24%
26%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CIS
2 - 0
SON
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SON
2 - 2
VBE
23%
22%
55%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
INV
2 - 1
SON
65%
19%
17%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SON
1 - 1
CAR
46%
24%
30%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |