Pergolettese vs Scanzorosciate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
CIS
1 - 2
PER
27%
25%
48%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
PER
4 - 0
ACL
34%
27%
40%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
4 - 3
PER
30%
26%
45%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
PER
1 - 0
ASD
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
PER
3 - 0
INV
33%
25%
42%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Scanzorosciate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
SCA
2 - 1
BUS
18%
21%
61%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CIS
2 - 1
SCA
58%
21%
21%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
GRU
2 - 0
SCA
52%
23%
26%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
CIS
0 - 0
SCA
50%
22%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
SCA
1 - 1
LEV
32%
24%
45%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |