Pergolettese vs Renate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SPA
2 - 1
PER
63%
22%
16%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
PER
1 - 1
SAS
49%
25%
26%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
BV5
1 - 0
PER
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
PER
2 - 0
ASS
37%
26%
37%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
PER
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Renate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
REN
0 - 2
DEL
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
VIR
2 - 1
REN
40%
26%
34%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
REN
2 - 0
ASD
71%
17%
12%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
FCC
1 - 2
REN
30%
26%
44%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
REN
2 - 2
MAN
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |