Pergolettese vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
32.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
REN
1 - 2
PER
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 2
PER
48%
24%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
PER
1 - 1
FER
22%
26%
52%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
LEO
1 - 1
PER
55%
25%
20%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
PER
2 - 0
GER
42%
27%
32%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
PRO
2 - 1
MAN
50%
26%
25%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
FER
2 - 1
PRO
59%
24%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 0
TRI
41%
28%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
SER
0 - 2
PRO
30%
27%
44%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
PRO
1 - 0
REN
34%
28%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |