Pergolettese vs Pol. Ciliverghe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PER
1 - 1
CIS
37%
24%
38%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
PIA
2 - 0
PER
78%
15%
7%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
PER
1 - 2
INV
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FOL
0 - 0
PER
36%
27%
37%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
VIR
2 - 1
PER
54%
25%
21%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Pol. Ciliverghe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PSM
4 - 1
FOL
66%
20%
14%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CIS
0 - 0
PSM
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PSM
0 - 2
VBE
48%
23%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
INV
0 - 1
PSM
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PON
3 - 0
PSM
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |