Pergolettese vs Olginatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
35.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
PSM
0 - 1
PER
43%
24%
32%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
PER
1 - 2
PRO
44%
26%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 0
PER
45%
26%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
PER
0 - 0
SER
36%
26%
39%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
PON
0 - 2
PER
65%
21%
15%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Olginatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
OLG
0 - 0
VIL
55%
24%
21%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
PSM
0 - 0
OLG
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
OLG
0 - 0
PRO
54%
24%
22%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 0
OLG
31%
27%
42%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
OLG
0 - 2
SER
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -2 |