Pergolettese vs MapelloBonate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SER
2 - 1
PER
61%
22%
17%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PER
0 - 0
FIO
58%
24%
18%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PRO
2 - 0
PER
33%
28%
40%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PER
2 - 2
BUS
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
PON
2 - 1
PER
54%
23%
22%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
MapelloBonate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MAP
0 - 1
PSM
27%
24%
49%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CIS
1 - 1
MAP
61%
20%
19%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MAP
1 - 1
PIA
9%
18%
73%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
INV
4 - 0
MAP
72%
18%
11%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
MAP
0 - 0
FOL
38%
27%
35%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |