Pergolettese vs Inveruno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FOL
0 - 0
PER
36%
27%
37%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
VIR
2 - 1
PER
54%
25%
21%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
PER
2 - 1
LEC
29%
26%
45%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 2
PER
38%
28%
35%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PER
2 - 1
ACM
81%
14%
5%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Inveruno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
INV
0 - 1
PSM
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SON
0 - 2
INV
45%
23%
33%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
INV
1 - 1
FOL
59%
22%
19%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MAP
3 - 0
INV
37%
23%
40%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
INV
3 - 1
CIS
39%
24%
38%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |