Pergolettese vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
PER
1 - 1
LEC
29%
26%
45%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
VBE
0 - 2
PER
39%
24%
37%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
PER
3 - 2
CAR
58%
24%
18%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MAP
0 - 1
PER
42%
26%
32%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PER
0 - 1
SER
34%
26%
40%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
GRU
2 - 2
FOL
73%
17%
11%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 3
CIS
34%
24%
42%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 1
INV
34%
24%
43%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 0
FOL
72%
18%
10%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 0
VBE
46%
23%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |