Pergolettese vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
19%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
MAP
1 - 1
PER
52%
23%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
PER
1 - 2
CIS
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
6 - 1
PER
45%
26%
29%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -3 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
PER
2 - 2
OLG
37%
27%
36%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
PSM
0 - 1
PER
43%
24%
32%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
FOL
1 - 1
VIL
35%
26%
39%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
OLG
0 - 0
FOL
66%
22%
12%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 2
PSM
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PRO
2 - 1
FOL
57%
25%
18%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
FOL
3 - 5
FCC
35%
27%
38%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |