Pergolettese vs Fiorenzuola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
PRO
2 - 1
PER
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ABN
1 - 1
PER
55%
25%
21%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
PER
1 - 1
LEG
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
PIA
3 - 0
PER
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
PER
3 - 3
SER
55%
25%
21%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
ABN
0 - 0
FIO
62%
23%
15%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
FIO
0 - 1
TRI
24%
25%
51%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
FIO
1 - 2
TRE
42%
27%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
LEC
3 - 1
FIO
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
FIO
0 - 0
PAD
11%
22%
67%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | +1 |