Pergolettese vs Castiglione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
21.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
REN
0 - 0
PER
63%
22%
15%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
PER
0 - 0
SPA
23%
26%
51%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SAS
2 - 0
PER
66%
21%
14%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
PER
1 - 2
BV5
28%
27%
45%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ASS
2 - 0
PER
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Castiglione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FCC
2 - 3
DEL
28%
27%
45%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
BV5
0 - 0
FCC
76%
16%
8%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CUN
2 - 1
FCC
63%
23%
14%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
FCC
2 - 0
RIM
35%
26%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
REN
1 - 0
FCC
70%
19%
11%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |