Pergolettese vs Darfo Boario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
PSM
2 - 0
PER
36%
25%
39%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
PER
3 - 0
LEV
66%
21%
14%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
TRE
0 - 4
PER
24%
24%
53%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
PER
1 - 0
BUS
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SCA
1 - 3
PER
17%
21%
62%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Darfo Boario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
DAR
1 - 0
BUS
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SCA
1 - 0
DAR
20%
21%
59%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
DAR
3 - 0
CIS
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ACL
0 - 0
DAR
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
DAR
0 - 1
CAR
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |