Pergolettese vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
JS2
2 - 4
PER
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 2
PER
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
PER
0 - 3
OLB
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
LEO
1 - 0
PER
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
PER
1 - 0
LIV
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 2
GER
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
4 - 2
LIV
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
REN
0 - 0
CAR
42%
28%
30%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
GRO
58%
22%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
USA
1 - 0
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |