Pergolettese vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
45.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
VBE
0 - 2
PER
39%
24%
37%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
PER
3 - 2
CAR
58%
24%
18%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MAP
0 - 1
PER
42%
26%
32%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PER
0 - 1
SER
34%
26%
40%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
FIO
1 - 1
PER
35%
27%
38%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
LEC
3 - 1
PSM
70%
17%
13%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
PIA
1 - 0
LEC
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 0
FOL
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CIS
1 - 3
LEC
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
LEC
3 - 0
VBE
65%
18%
16%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |